SHUBHLAXMI NCDEX

NCDEX jeera has fallen signifi cantly in last few weeks. It has fallen towards the lower end of the reverse channel. On the higher side, it is facing resistance near the junction of the 40- day exponential moving average and the daily upper Bollinger Band. It is trading within this range for a last few sessions. Thus the agri-commodity is in a make or break zone. The short-term momentum indicator has completed its pull-back cycle whereas the medium-term momentum indicator is in a bearish mode. Thus unless the swing’s high of Rs.16,675 is crossed the commodity is likely to slide down. The key levels on the downside will be Rs15,100 and Rs.14,530.

The adjacent chart shows price movement of NCDEX soybean continuous contract. From the high of Rs.4,412 it has entered correction mode. The fall is breaking up into lower degree waves. Recently the agri-commodity formed a minor degree bounce, which faced resistance near the key daily and weekly moving averages. The upper end of the reverse falling channel is also restricted the bulls. Thus the price has started falling again. On the downside Rs3,408-3,400 is acting as a key support zone. Once that breaks, the price can tumble down till Rs3,325- 3,300. On the other hand, Rs3,547-3,580 will act as a key resistance zone.

The adjacent chart shows the price movement of NCDEX turmeric April contract. The agri-commodity has been rallying for the last several sessions. However it faced resistance near the rising trendline from the previous crucial swing’s high. The short-term momentum indicator is showing a negative divergence in the overbought zone and has triggered a bearish crossover. Thus the commodity looks set for a short-term correction. The price can correct till Rs8,586 and Rs8,500. On the other hand, Rs9,430 and Rs9,680 will act as key resistances.

The adjacent chart shows the price movement of NCDEX soya oil January contract. The agri-commodity is moving up in a medium-term rising channel. Within that channel it had formed a short-term falling channel. Recently it has broken-out from the falling channel. The daily momentum indicator is in line with the bullish breakout. The key level on the upside will be Rs.632, ie the upper end of the rising channel. The swing’s high of Rs.615.20 will act as an intermediate resistance. On the other hand, Rs.603 and Rs.596 will act as the key support zone.