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The adjoining chart is a weekly chart of NCDEX jeera March 2014 contract. Jeera made a sharp pullback towards the medium-term rising trendline (shown in blue colour) after completing a five-wave decline on the downside. The agri-commodity has faced resistance at the crucial 61.8% retracement level and sold off from there. Last week we saw the agri-commodity traded in a volatile manner and closed the week with marginal gains. It was unable to close above the crucial weekly moving averages which indicates that the weakness still persists. We expect jeera to trade weak for the targets of Rs.11895, which is the previous swing’s low, and Rs11,275, which is the next swing’s low. The stop loss should be trailed to Rs12,947, which is the swing’s high.

Pepper futures slipped for the six trading sessions on the back of reports of Vietnam easing the prices of new crops and arrivals of Indian crops in the local market. The NMCE pepper for the February delivery ended the day at Rs 51,067, down Rs 383 or 0.74% over Friday`s close. Pepper futures are expected to extend the losses on profit taking and reports of flow of arrivals from India and Vietnam`s plan to sell at lower rates.

The adjoining chart is a weekly chart of NCDEX soya bean. Last week we saw soya bean traded within the range of the penultimate week and closed positive. Our sense is that it is in “wave IV” where we generally see a sideways consolidation. The weekly momentum indicators also bears a positive crossover which indicates a positive bias We expect the consolidation to break on the upside and achieve the equality target of Rs4,370 on the upside. Traders should keep a tight stoploss at Rs3,800, which is the low of the penultimate week when it had formed an Engulfing Bear Candle stick pattern.

The adjoining chart is a weekly chart of NCDEX soya bean. We can observe that soya bean broke the trading range on the upside and it rallied smartly towards the crucial resistances. For the past five weeks, it has been oscillating around the crucial resistances. Last week we saw the agricommodity gave a positive weekly close and also closed above the resistance line (shown in blue colour). On a shorter time frame, we can observe that the agricommodity is consolidating in a range and has taken shape of a triangle, which has been broken on the upside. It faced resistance at the daily upper Bollinger Band and corrected once again. This indicates indecision among the market participants. The weekly momentum indicator has a positive crossover and reached the equilibrium line, which completes the pullback cycle. Our view on the agricommodity remains bearish and we expect soya bean to trade weak going ahead. Our targets on the downside are placed at Rs2,866, which is the weekly lower Bollinger Band. the stop loss should be trailed to Rs3,698, which is the 61.8% retracement level of the fall from Rs4,276 to Rs2,838.

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